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Federal Reserve
688 TokenPost stories are tagged Federal Reserve. The newest appear first.
Latest Federal Reserve stories
- Fed Decision and September CPI Headline October’s Bitcoin Calendar
The schedule includes 13 dated events and four recurring weekly indicators, with the September CPI report due Oct. 14.
· Investing
- Fed Vice Chair Jefferson Says Rate Decisions May Need More Time
Jefferson said future policy changes should reflect data trends, the economic outlook and the balance of risks.
· Regulation
- U.S. Factory Price Index Rises as Bitcoin Tests $85,000
The Institute for Supply Management’s Prices Index climbed to 77.9 in September, while the share of manufacturers reporting higher raw-material costs reached 58.6%.
· Investing
- Trump’s Potential Fed Removals Would Face Separate Legal Tests
The Supreme Court has allowed Lisa Cook to remain on the Board while her case proceeds. A renovation review faulted Board management but did not assign responsibility to Jerome Powell.
· Regulation
- September Jobs Report Will Test the Fed’s View of Labor Market Stability
The U.S. employment report due Friday, Oct. 2, is expected to show slower hiring than August, with payroll estimates ranging from 84,000 to 95,000 and unemployment at 4.1%.
· Investing
- AI Agents Account for About Half of Traffic to Federal Reserve Data Site
FRED's MCP Connector is available now; tools to guide agents on economic data and link historical archives remain in development.
· Technology
- Federal Reserve Divides Central Banking Work Among Three Bodies
The Board of Governors oversees 12 regional Reserve Banks, while a 12-member committee sets monetary policy.
· Regulation
- Markets Put 64% Odds on Fed Holding Rates Steady in October
Pricing assigns a 36% chance to a 25-basis-point increase at the October meeting and higher cumulative hike odds by December.
· Investing
- Treasury Futures Shorts Build as Traders Await Inflation and Jobs Data
Positions in five- and 10-year Treasury futures have expanded sharply, increasing the risk of rapid short covering if economic data weaken.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Briefly Hits $85,500 After Cooler U.S. PCE Inflation Data
BTC later fell to about $83,700 as elevated Treasury yields limited the market’s response to the softer inflation reading.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Rally Leans on Spot Demand as ETF Inflows Reach $2.38 Billion
Bitcoin rose from about $57,803 on July 1 to an intraday high of $87,392 on Sept. 21, with resistance concentrated near $84,000 to $86,500.
· Investing
- Kashkari Sees One More Fed Rate Hike in 2026 and Another in 2027
He also said the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet works best near zero rates and called a strategy review reasonable.
· Investing
- Crypto Prices Rise as August Inflation Stays Above Fed Target
Bitcoin, Ether and XRP advanced as the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 3.4% annually in August.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Climbs Above $85,000 After Cooler PCE Inflation Reading
August PCE inflation rose 3.4% annually, while elevated Treasury yields kept pressure on risk assets.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Climbs Above $85,000 as Softer Inflation Eases Fed Pressure
August headline PCE inflation rose 3.4% year over year, below the 3.7% expectation, while Bitcoin’s 24-hour range reached $87,251.25.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Slows, Cooling October Fed Hike Bets
The core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 3% year over year in August, below the 3.3% forecast.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Eases to 3.0% as Spending Jumps 0.9%
The headline PCE price index rose 3.4% annually in August, while real consumer spending increased 0.6%.
· Investing
- U.S. Consumer Spending Posts Biggest Monthly Gain in More Than a Year
Inflation-adjusted personal spending rose 0.6% in August, while the core PCE price index increased 0.2%, keeping the data central to rate expectations.
· Investing
- U.S. Real Personal Consumption Spending Rose 0.6% in August
The monthly increase followed a flat reading in July, pointing to stronger consumer demand in data relevant to Federal Reserve policy and crypto markets.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Slows to 3%, Lowest in Six Months
August core PCE inflation eased from the previous month and came in below the 3.3% market forecast, offering a fresh signal for U.S. rate expectations.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Rises 3% in August, Below Forecast
The annual reading came in below the 3.3% expectation, shaping expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and crypto markets.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Faces Oil-Market Test as U.S. Seeks 40 Million-Barrel SPR Exchange
The solicitation opened Sept. 29, but deliveries under awarded exchanges are scheduled for November and December 2026.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Hit Multiyear Highs as U.S. Stocks Stay Resilient
The 10-year yield briefly reached 5.293%, its highest level since 2007, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remained higher for the year.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds Put October Fed Rate Hold at 59% Ahead of Key Data
The hold probability rose 28% in 24 hours, while the odds of a 25-basis-point hike fell to 42%.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Gains 6.14% in September as Spot ETFs Draw $2.4 Billion
Bitcoin traded above $83,000 late in the month while U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $2.4 billion in weekly net inflows.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Slips Below $84,000 Before U.S. Inflation Data, Micron Results
Bitcoin traded near $83,700 early Sept. 30 as markets awaited the August PCE price index and Micron Technology’s fiscal fourth-quarter results.
· Investing
- Wells Fargo Downgrades Tech Sector to Neutral After Nearly 33% Gain
The move follows stronger expectations, rising debt-funded infrastructure investment and forecasts for more aggressive Federal Reserve rate increases.
· Investing
- Fed Governor Lisa D. Cook Says AI Data-Center Demand Could Delay 2% Inflation
Cook said AI productivity gains may provide only modest disinflation, while data-center construction could raise demand for labor and energy.
· Regulation
- September Payroll Forecasts Diverge as Markets Split on 100,000 Jobs
Forecasts for September U.S. job growth range from 35,000 to 180,000, while Kalshi and Polymarket put roughly even odds on more than 100,000 jobs.
· Investing
- U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High Before PCE Data
The yield briefly reached 5.29% as markets awaited U.S. PCE inflation data that may shape the next move in the dollar and Treasuries.
· Investing
- Tom Lee Says Williams’ Dovish PCE View Could Ease Fed Stance
Williams expects August core PCE data to be dovish, which Lee said could lead the FOMC to soften its hawkish position and support stocks.
· Investing
- Crowded Treasury Shorts Raise Risk of a Sharp Yield Reversal
The 30-year Treasury yield exceeded 5.61% Sept. 30, while large short positions in five- and 10-year futures leave markets exposed to abrupt moves if economic data weakens.
· Investing
- Hedge Funds Reach Record 7% Share of U.S. Treasury Market
Hedge funds held $2 trillion in cash Treasurys at the end of 2025 as leverage and short-term funding raised concerns about forced selling.
· Investing
- Fed Draft Sets Stablecoin Reserves, Redemptions and Weekly Reports
The proposals would require daily reserve valuation, two-business-day redemptions and quarterly financial reporting for covered issuers.
· Regulation
- Traders Cut October Fed Rate-Hike Bets After Williams Comment
Markets now price only one additional Federal Reserve rate increase through year-end. The probability of a 25-basis-point October hike stands at 68.1%.
· Investing
- August PCE Report Due Wednesday With Inflation Forecast at 3.7%
The Bureau of Economic Analysis is expected to report 0.3% monthly increases in headline and core PCE inflation, while consumer spending is forecast to rise 0.8%.
· Investing
- Prediction-Market Traders Bet September Jobs Growth Will Beat 84,000 Estimate
Kalshi contracts show nearly 60% odds of more than 90,000 new jobs, while Polymarket traders see roughly even odds of growth above 100,000.
· Investing
- Fed’s Waller Says AI, Stablecoins and Tokenization Could Improve Payments
The Federal Reserve governor said wider adoption will depend on cybersecurity, interoperability, anti-money-laundering controls and financial-system resilience.
· Regulation
- Markets Price 68.1% Chance of 25-Basis-Point Fed Hike
Pricing assigns a 31.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave rates unchanged at its upcoming October meeting.
· Investing
- Fed’s Barr Says AI Investment Is Raising Prices Before Potential Gains
Barr backed the Fed’s Sept. 16 rate increase and said further policy adjustments may be needed as 2026 inflation projections remain above the 2% target.
· Regulation