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U.S. Economy
181 TokenPost stories are tagged U.S. Economy. The newest appear first.
Latest U.S. Economy stories
- U.S. Election, Jobs Report and AI Earnings Set a Packed Week
All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are on the ballot Tuesday as Apple, Palantir and AMD report results.
· Investing
- Private-Industry Health Benefit Costs Grew More Than Twice as Fast as Wages
Economist Guy Berger estimated wage growth would have been 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points higher if employer health contributions had risen 3%.
· Business
- Bitcoin Shows Larger 30-Minute Moves After Jobs, Core CPI Releases
A study of January 2025 through September 2026 found employment reports were followed by moves about twice the typical size, while core CPI releases registered 1.8 times typical.
· Investing
- Economic Indicators Send Mixed Signals Ahead of U.S. Midterms
A national survey released Oct. 22 found that 34% approved of President Donald Trump’s handling of the economy, while Democrats led Republicans 52%-45% on congressional control.
· Investing
- U.S. Median Household Income Rose 56% in Real Terms Since 1967
The median reached $87,460 in 2025, up 2.6% from the prior year and the highest level in the series that began in 1967.
· Business
- U.S. Compensation Costs Rise 0.8% as Growth Slows in Third Quarter
Wages and salaries increased 0.7% quarter over quarter, while compensation costs were 3.4% higher than a year earlier.
· Insights & Views
- Chicago PMI Falls to 55.3 in October, Missing 56.0 Estimate
The index dropped from 58.8 in September but stayed above the 50-point expansion threshold for a second month.
· Investing
- U.S. Real GDP Growth Tests Fed Chair’s View That Economy Is Not Overheated
Real GDP rose 3.4% on an annualized quarter-over-quarter basis in Q3. Consumer spending increased 3.8%, while equipment investment climbed 20.9%.
· Regulation
- U.S. Employment Cost Index Rises 0.8% in Q3, Slowing From Q2
Compensation costs for civilian workers rose 3.4% year over year, not seasonally adjusted.
· Investing
- U.S. Savings Rate Fell to 3.8% as GDP Grew at a 3.4% Pace
Artificial intelligence investment and consumer spending supported output, but September prices rose 3.6% from a year earlier, above the Fed’s 2% target.
· Investing
- U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Stay Near 60-Year Lows at 194,000
Continuing claims also edged down and remained close to a three-year low. Initial filings came in below a 198,000 forecast.
· Business
- Thursday Watchlist Puts U.S. GDP, Inflation and Tech Earnings in Focus
Third-quarter GDP grew at a 3.4% annualized rate, while September core PCE prices rose 3.1% from a year earlier.
· Investing
- U.S. Q3 GDP Growth Rises to 3.4%, Beating 3.2% Estimate
The advance estimate was above both the 3.2% forecast and the previous 2.2% reading.
· Investing
- US Core PCE Inflation Rises to 2.5%, Exceeding September Forecast
The annual rate eased from 3.3% but remained above the Fed’s 2% target.
· Investing
- U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3.6% in September, Matching Forecasts
The annual rate was up from 3.4% in the prior reading, keeping the Federal Reserve’s key inflation gauge in focus for markets.
· Investing
- U.S. GDP Grows at a 3.4% Annualized Pace as September Inflation Hits 3.6%
Core PCE inflation reached 3.1% annually. GDP growth exceeded a 3.1% estimate and the 2.2% pace recorded in the second quarter.
· Investing
- U.S. Third-Quarter GDP Growth Accelerates to 3.4%, Beating Forecasts
The preliminary annualized rate topped the 3.2% forecast and followed 2.2% growth in the second quarter. AI data-center and equipment investment supported the expansion.
· Investing
- U.S. Jobless Claims Fall to 194,000, Below the 199,000 Forecast
The previous week's total was revised up to 195,000 from 194,000, while several recent readings also stayed below 200,000.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Rises 3.1% as December Fed Hike Risk Draws Focus
Overall PCE inflation rose 3.6% year over year, while markets are watching whether service prices climb further.
· Investing
- Two U.S. Economic Reports Will Deliver Final Pre-Election Data
The readings cover economic output and inflation as affordability remains a concern for voters.
· Investing
- U.S. GDP Forecast at 2.5% in Q3; Year-Over-Year Core PCE Inflation Seen at 3.1%
Consumer spending and investment are expected to support growth, while net exports and inventories could weigh on it. The projected year-over-year increase in the core personal consumption expenditures price index ris…
· Business
- U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise 0.6% in September, Retail Holds at 0.3%
Wholesale inventories were up 7.4% from a year earlier, while retail inventories rose 4.8%.
· Investing
- Trump Says Consumer Confidence Rose 7.5% Without Naming a Measure
His Oct. 27 statement gave no index or comparison period; historical U.S. surveys recorded different trends across 2025 and 2026.
· Investing
- U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rise 1.8% as Core Orders Extend Streak
Core capital goods shipments rose 1.2%, topping expectations, while orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft slowed from August.
· Insights & Views
- Richmond Fed Composite Holds at -2 as New Orders Index Weakens
Shipments returned to zero, while employment and backlogs deteriorated. The composite was at 4 in August.
· Insights & Views
- U.S. New-Home Sales Top Forecasts at 676,000 Despite September Dip
The monthly and year-over-year declines were not statistically significant. Inventory reached 476,000 homes, or 8.4 months of supply.
· Business
- U.S. Consumer Confidence Rises to 91.7, Beating Forecast
The previous reading was revised to 84.2 from 81.9, leaving October’s result 7.5 points higher.
· Investing
- U.S. Home-Improvement Spending Forecast to Stay Near $525 Billion Through Q3 2027
Year-over-year growth is projected at 1.5% in Q3 2027, while surveys show stronger near-term expectations among remodelers.
· Investing
- Moody’s Analytics Economist Says Fed Should Keep Rates Unchanged
Mark Zandi cited a matrix that assesses risks over the next 12 to 18 months and the potential economic damage they could cause.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Enters Fed Week as U.S. Inflation Expectations Reach 4.7%
Households’ year-ahead expectations rose for a second month, while the Consumer Sentiment Index was nearly unchanged at 48.0.
· Investing
- U.S. Composite PMI Falls to 57.6 in October but Remains in Expansion
The preliminary reading was down 0.8 point from September’s 58.4 but remained above the 50 mark associated with expansion.
· Investing
- U.S. Consumer Sentiment Revised Up to 48.0 in Final October Reading
The revision lifted the index 1.7 index points from its preliminary estimate, while current-condition views weakened and inflation expectations increased.
· Investing
- U.S. Business Activity Expands Slightly as Prices Rise Fastest Since 2022
Higher fuel, transportation and wage costs contributed to the price increase. The S&P Global U.S. composite PMI stood at 58.4 in September, its highest reading since July 2021.
· Investing
- Kansas City Fed Composite Manufacturing Index Falls to 11 as Orders Weaken
The six-month outlook rose to 22 from 19, while raw-material price readings increased and finished-product readings declined.
· Investing
- U.S. GDP Growth Slows to 2.2% in Q2 as August Spending Rises
The third estimate lifted second-quarter growth from 1.5%, while real personal consumption expenditures rose 0.6% month over month in August.
· Investing
- Patterson Says AI Investment May Add to Inflation and Borrowing Pressures
In Oct. 7 comments, she said AI spending could support growth while competing for workers, materials and financing.
· Insights & Views
- U.S. Jobless Claims Fall to 194,000 as September Index Holds at 99.6
Initial claims declined by 6,000 from the prior week’s revised 200,000, and the four-week average stood at 197,750.
· Investing
- JPMorgan Prepares for 40% Stock Market Decline, Dimon Says
The bank is also preparing for bond credit spreads to widen two to three times, even as its CEO describes the U.S. economy as strong.
· Business
- White House adviser says US GDP growth is nearing 4% as consumer spending holds firm
Kevin Hassett said US GDP growth is nearing 4% and pointed to discretionary travel, hotel stays, flights and car purchases as evidence of resilient consumer demand.
· Insights & Views
- French Inflation Accelerates to 3.1% as Cost-of-Living Protests Widen
U.S. consumer prices rose 3.7% in September. The U.S. and French inflation indexes use different methods and are not directly comparable.
· Investing