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U.S. Economy
181 TokenPost stories are tagged U.S. Economy. The newest appear first.
Latest U.S. Economy stories
- Iran War Could Add 1.5–2 Percentage Points to Inflation Cumulatively in 2026–27
The estimate combines information available through May from the United States, United Kingdom and euro area; it does not give a separate U.S. total. September U.S. CPI data are separate from the war estimate.
· Regulation
- Trump Approval Drops to 33% as Democrats Lead on Economic Trust
Sixty-six percent disapprove of Trump’s performance, including 52% who strongly disapprove. His rating is eight points below its level a year ago.
· Regulation
- U.S. Housing Market Index Release Is Scheduled for Monday, Oct. 19
The monthly release is scheduled for 10 a.m. ET (14:00 UTC) and tracks home builders’ views on sales and prospective buyers.
· Investing
- Anthropic Model Sees U.S. GDP at $44 Trillion by 2030 Under AI Scenario
The conditional estimate assumes continued technological progress and implies output nearly 50% above today’s GDP of just over $30 trillion.
· Technology
- Meta, Tesla Earnings and U.S. Data Fill Next Week’s Market Calendar
Nvidia's GTC Berlin runs through Oct. 22, while Friday brings preliminary U.S. activity indexes and final consumer sentiment and inflation-expectations readings.
· Business
- Anthropic Co-Founder Says Humanity May Have Only a Few Years to Build AI Safeguards
Clark said AI could lift U.S. GDP from about $30 trillion to $44 trillion and called for global rules against misuse.
· Technology
- U.S. Industrial Production Rises 0.7% in September as Manufacturing Returns to Growth
Manufacturing output climbed 0.3% after a revised August decline, while capacity utilization rose to 76.9%.
· Investing
- U.S. Import Prices Rise 1.1% as Export Prices Climb 2.2% in September
Over the 12 months through September 2026, import prices rose 8.1% and export prices rose 11.6%, each the largest gain since the year ended July 2022.
· Insights & Views
- Higher Treasury Yields Could Pressure U.S. Growth and AI Spending
The baseline outlook assumes one more Fed rate increase in December 2026, three cuts in the second half of 2027 and a 4.4% 10-year Treasury yield at year-end.
· Investing
- Younger Small-Business Owners Plan to Hire as Small-Firm Jobs Fall
Forty-six percent of businesses owned by Gen Z or Millennial respondents planned to increase staffing over the next year, compared with 19% of businesses owned by Baby Boomers or older owners.
· Business
- September CPI Rose 0.6% as Bitcoin Recovered Above $82,000
Core CPI increased 0.3% for the month, while gasoline prices rose 9.1% and drove more than half of the monthly increase in the overall index.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Rebounds Above $82,000 as Crypto Liquidations Top $937 Million
Long positions made up $787.18 million of the 24-hour liquidation total at noon ET (16:00 UTC) Oct. 15.
· Investing
- U.S. Business Inventories Rise 0.4% as Sales Climb 1.1%
Inventories were up 4.6% from a year earlier, while the ratio fell from 1.34 in July and 1.40 in August 2025.
· Investing
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Gauge Drops to 20.9 but Stays Positive
New orders and shipments weakened, while the employment index remained above zero and firms’ six-month outlook stayed positive.
· Investing
- U.S. Retail Sales Rise 0.8% in September, Beating Forecast
August's sales growth was revised down to 1.1% from 1.2%, tempering the comparison with September.
· Investing
- U.S. Jobless Claims Rise to 199,000, 1,000 Below Estimate
The prior week’s total was revised up to 198,000 from 197,000.
· Investing
- Gasoline Station Sales Jump 6.4% as U.S. Retail Sales Rise 0.8%
Sales excluding gasoline stations rose 0.2% from August. Total sales were up 6.3% from a year earlier.
· Business
- New York Manufacturing Gauge Climbs to Highest Level Since 2021
New orders and shipments strengthened, but the supply-availability index fell to its lowest level since June 2022.
· Insights & Views
- U.S. Producer Inflation Reaches 6.3% in September, Highest Since May
The annual PPI rate topped the 5.3% forecast, while monthly producer prices rose 1.3% and retail sales increased 0.8%.
· Investing
- U.S. Producer Inflation Reaches 6.3% as Jobless Claims Hit 199,000
September's annual producer price rate topped its 5.3% estimate, while claims were 1,000 below expectations for the week ended Oct. 10.
· Investing
- U.S. Inflation Rises to 3.7% as Payroll Gains Are Modest; Small-Business Optimism Slips
Payrolls added 29,000 jobs in September, while the NFIB optimism index fell to 97.9, just below its 52-year average.
· Investing
- U.S. Deficit Estimated at $2 Trillion as Treasury Yields Reach 5%
Outlays increased by $386 billion in fiscal 2026, while the February budget baseline projected net interest outlays rising to $2.1 trillion by 2036.
· Regulation
- Jobless Claims and September PPI Are Due Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET
Claims are forecast at 200,000, compared with 197,000 the previous week.
· Investing
- U.S. Household Wealth Reaches $195.9 Trillion in Second Quarter of 2026
Net worth rose $12.8 trillion from the prior quarter, with a $10.7 trillion increase in corporate equities accounting for most of the gain.
· Investing
- U.S. New-Car Payments Reach $787 as Longer Loans Gain Share
Loans of at least 84 months accounted for 25.5% of financed new-vehicle purchases in the third quarter. Estimated lifetime interest also reached a quarterly record.
· Business
- U.S. Core Inflation Rises to 2.6% in September, Above Forecast
Core consumer prices increased 0.3% from August, matching the prior month’s pace. Overall CPI rose 0.6% month over month.
· Investing
- U.S. September Inflation Tops Expectations at 3.7%
Core CPI rose 2.6% year over year, also above the 2.5% forecast.
· Investing
- Ripple Contribution Could Support $900 Million in U.S. GDP
Accion Opportunity Fund’s 10-year projection applies its historical lending model to Ripple’s $10 million in lending equity. The capital is part of a $15 million commitment made in 2025.
· Business
- Williams Keeps Open One More 2026 Fed Rate Hike, Sees No 2027 Need
New York Fed President John Williams said inflation could move closer to the Fed’s 2% target next year as tariff and energy pressures ease.
· Regulation
- U.S. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Rises to 7.40% for Seventh Week
The rate reached its highest level since November 2023 as 10-year Treasury yields stayed above 5%.
· Investing
- Women Emerge as Key Heirs in $124 Trillion U.S. Wealth Transfer
Women are projected to receive billions through widow and younger-generation transfers as investment firms seek more female professionals.
· Business
- Bitcoin Holds Range as On-Chain Indicators Show Early Bottoming Signs
Exchange reserves stayed low while apparent demand recovered from deeply negative levels, but the signals have not confirmed a durable reversal.
· Investing
- Bloomberg Economic Surprise Index Turns Negative Amid Sticky Inflation
The index moved below zero after multiple U.S. releases missed expectations. August PCE inflation rose 3.4% year over year, while core inflation reached 3.0%.
· Investing
- U.S. Bankruptcy Filings Rise 11% Through First Nine Months of 2026
Individual filings rose 7%, while commercial filings increased at a similar rate. Total filings remained below 2019 levels.
· Business
- U.S. Inflation and Jobs Data Set Crypto Calendar for Week Ahead
September CPI and PPI reports are due Wednesday and Thursday, while employment data and a Federal Reserve event add to the week’s macro schedule.
· Investing
- Nearly Four in 10 Unemployed People Exhaust Benefits Before Finding Jobs
U.S. employers added 29,000 jobs in the latest month, leaving many job seekers searching after state benefits expire.
· Business
- U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls to 46.3 as Inflation Views Rise
The preliminary October reading fell below September’s final result and market expectations, while one-year inflation expectations climbed to 4.7%.
· Investing
- U.S. Families’ Debt Delinquencies Hit Highest Level Since 2010
Nearly 20% of families were behind on loan payments at the end of 2025, while inflation-adjusted average net worth rose 7% to $1.24 million.
· Investing
- Fed Survey Finds U.S. Wealth Rose as Stock Participation Fell
Median family income and net worth increased in 2025, while average income declined and more households faced heavy debt-payment burdens.
· Investing
- U.S. One-Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 4.7% in October
The preliminary reading increased from 4.6% in September and matched the 4.7% expectation.
· Investing