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Kalshi
111 TokenPost stories are tagged Kalshi. The newest appear first.
Latest Kalshi stories
- September Payroll Forecasts Diverge as Markets Split on 100,000 Jobs
Forecasts for September U.S. job growth range from 35,000 to 180,000, while Kalshi and Polymarket put roughly even odds on more than 100,000 jobs.
· Investing
- Kalshi Plans to End Its Volume Incentive Program on Oct. 13
The program was designed to improve order-book liquidity and pricing efficiency across Kalshi markets. Rewards will stop after the termination takes effect.
· Business
- Kalshi Files to Terminate Volume Incentive Program After 10-Day Review
KalshiEX LLC filed Sept. 28 to terminate a reward program tied to qualifying trading volume, with Oct. 13 listed as the earliest possible effective date.
· Regulation
- Prediction-Market Traders Bet September Jobs Growth Will Beat 84,000 Estimate
Kalshi contracts show nearly 60% odds of more than 90,000 new jobs, while Polymarket traders see roughly even odds of growth above 100,000.
· Investing
- Kalshi in Talks for $1 Billion Financing at $40 Billion Valuation
The prediction-market platform is discussing the financing with new and existing investors, with completion expected in the coming weeks.
· Business
- Kalshi’s May Financing Valued the Company at $22 Billion
Kalshi announced a $1 billion Series F on May 7, while an Aug. 25 SEC filing listed a nearly $1.5 billion private offering.
· Business
- House Panel Expands Prediction-Market Probe to Three More Platforms
The inquiry seeks records on customer verification, internal monitoring and suspicious-trading reports from Hyperliquid Labs, Crypto.com and Aristotle Exchange.
· Regulation
- Prediction Markets Put Bitcoin’s 2026 $100,000 Odds Near One-Third
Kalshi pricing ranged from 38% to 40%, while Polymarket showed 31% for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026.
· Investing
- Sixth Circuit Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Are Not Federal Swaps
The ruling allows Ohio and Tennessee to apply their gambling laws to Kalshi’s sports-event contracts and removes a key federal shield for the platform.
· Regulation
- Sixth Circuit Lets Ohio, Tennessee Regulate Kalshi Sports Contracts
The ruling deepens a split among federal appeals courts over whether states or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission can oversee Kalshi’s event contracts.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Can Keep Offering Event Contracts in Ohio, Tennessee
A Sixth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruling allows Kalshi to continue operating its event-contract business in both states.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Loses Sixth Circuit Appeal Over Sports-Event Contracts
The unanimous ruling allows Ohio and Tennessee to regulate Kalshi’s sports contracts under state gambling laws, deepening a federal court split.
· Regulation
- Sixth Circuit Clears Ohio, Tennessee To Enforce Laws Against Kalshi
The ruling removes preliminary protections for the prediction-market operator but does not itself order user blocks in either state.
· Regulation
- Sixth Circuit Says Kalshi Sports Contracts Face State Gambling Oversight
The ruling says the contracts are not swaps subject to Commodity Futures Trading Commission rules, affecting disputes in Ohio and Tennessee.
· Regulation
- Appeals Court Rules States Can Regulate Kalshi Sports Contracts
The unanimous ruling lets Ohio and Tennessee apply gambling laws to Kalshi’s sports event contracts, adding to a growing appeals-court split over federal oversight.
· Regulation
- 35% of Respondents Use Sportsbooks Less as Tax Fight Grows
A September survey found that prediction markets are changing sportsbook use, while conflicting estimates put potential state tax effects at more than $500 million.
· Regulation
- Morgan Stanley Joins NEXTPredict NYC as Strategic Partner
The bank will lead the summit’s Institutional and Capital panel as prediction markets seek broader use in trading, forecasting and risk management.
· Business
- Prediction Markets Reach 1.1 Billion Trades in Q3 as Kalshi Leads
The third-quarter count through Sept. 25 surpassed roughly 490 million trades in Q1 and 709 million in Q2, while Kalshi supplied most of the additional activity.
· Investing
- CFTC Warns Exchanges of Manipulation Risk in Political Speech Bets
A Sept. 22 advisory requires contract-specific safeguards for markets tied to what a person says, does or attends.
· Regulation
- Public Adds AI Agents for Prediction-Market Trading Through Kalshi
Users can approve fixed strategies that monitor event contracts tied to rate decisions, regulatory approvals and company metrics, then alert or trade when preset conditions are met.
· Business
- CFTC Reviews Kalshi Activity as One Ether Market Tops $5 Billion
Nearly 1 million similarly sized trades have appeared since August in Kalshi’s Ether perpetual contract market, with the CFTC weighing whether to open an investigation.
· Regulation
- Senate Banking Democrats Seek Public Hearing on Prediction Markets
All 11 Democratic committee members asked Chairman Tim Scott to examine consumer and financial-system risks as prediction-market trading expands.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Ether Perpetual Trades Clustered Around $5,499 Size
Trades near $5,499 made up 57% of a $13.5 million Ether sample from Sept. 17-20, while Kalshi attributed the pattern to fixed-size liquidity orders.
· Investing
- Kalshi Says CFTC Has Not Opened Examination Into Ether Trading
The prediction-market operator attributed repeated trades to liquidity incentives after public data showed unusually high Ether perpetual volume relative to open interest.
· Regulation
- Gaming-State Lawmakers Urge Supreme Court To Review Kalshi Case
The National Council of Legislators from Gaming States backed New Jersey’s petition over whether states or federal agencies should oversee sports-related prediction markets.
· Regulation
- CFTC Examines $5 Billion Trading Pattern in Kalshi ETH Perpetuals
Nearly 1 million trades clustered around $5,500 order sizes, while Kalshi denies wash-trading allegations and attributes the pattern to market-making activity.
· Regulation
- 11 Democratic Senators Urge Tim Scott to Hold Prediction Markets Hearing
The request comes before a Republican-only roundtable next week on securities prediction markets, with a Kalshi representative expected to attend.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Prices Anthropic Ahead of OpenAI in IPO Announcement Race
Anthropic held 75% of the contract’s displayed probability versus 22% for OpenAI, with $278,366 in trading volume.
· Investing
- Washington Court Moves to Block Kalshi Sports Contracts, Challenging Federal Oversight
A Washington court granted a preliminary injunction against Kalshi’s sports event contracts, rejecting its federal preemption argument and intensifying the state-versus-federal regulatory dispute.
· Regulation
- CFTC Approves First US Bitcoin Perpetual Futures, Signals Shift to 24/7 Trading
The CFTC approved Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual futures contract and signaled support for 24/7 crypto derivatives trading, marking a shift toward regulated U.S. market infrastructure.
· Regulation
- Prediction Markets Hit $44 Billion Volume as Polymarket, Kalshi Compete on Regulation
Prediction markets surpassed $44 billion in 2025 as Polymarket and Kalshi compete for market share through regulatory positioning and institutional expansion.
· Insights & Views