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Kalshi
111 TokenPost stories are tagged Kalshi. The newest appear first.
Latest Kalshi stories
- Kalshi Seeks Full Sixth Circuit Review of Ohio and Tennessee Rulings
The company’s Oct. 13 request challenges a panel’s decisions on preliminary injunctions in both state disputes.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Prediction Markets Put October Odds of Touching $80,000 Above $92,500
Polymarket prices a 54% chance of Bitcoin touching $80,000 during October, while Kalshi shows 55% odds of trading below that level.
· Investing
- Kalshi Records $3.9 Billion in Trading Activity as Parlays Drive Volume
The total counts contracts at their $1 notional payout value, rather than traders’ purchase prices or platform revenue. Crypto, commodities and financial markets generated $20.4 million in fees in the seven days throu…
· Investing
- CFTC Sets Separate Paths for Crypto Trading and Sports Contracts
The agency is seeking comments on a crypto-market framework while treating event contracts as swaps and excluding sportsbook wagers from the definition.
· Regulation
- Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 Records $317 Million in Five-Month Volume
The outcome-market platform generated $51 million in September, while soccer World Cup contracts represented 28% of cumulative volume.
· Investing
- CFTC Filing Index Lists KalshiEX Program Termination Notice
The index entry does not establish the program’s original terms, reason for termination or effective date.
· Regulation
- CBS News Plans to Show Kalshi Odds in 2026 Midterm Coverage
The network will place market-implied probabilities alongside polls, results and race analysis as prediction markets gain visibility despite limited participation across many congressional contracts.
· Business
- CFTC Proposes Federal Swap Rules for Prediction-Market Contracts
The proposals would classify event contracts as swaps while excluding sports betting and casino-style products from the definition.
· Regulation
- Kalshi and Polymarket Set $8.56 Billion Two-Day Volume Record
NFL and NCAA events drove consecutive daily records, while combined weekly volume reached $22.2 billion.
· Investing
- CFTC Proposes Separating Prediction Markets From Casino Gambling
The measures would classify event contracts as swaps while excluding sportsbook wagers and casino games from the definition.
· Regulation
- CFTC Proposes Classifying Prediction Contracts as Swaps
The proposal covers sports, politics, culture and weather, while a separate rule would exclude sportsbook and casino wagers from the swap definition.
· Regulation
- Prediction Markets Gain Ground as Finance Firms Build Around Event Contracts
Kalshi’s federal designation, Polymarket’s $1.4 million penalty and ICE’s planned investment highlight a market expanding beyond betting, while its infrastructure potential remains unproven.
· Business
- NCPG CEO Heather Maurer Resigns After Kalshi’s $2 Million Contribution
Maurer will leave the National Council on Problem Gambling on Oct. 16 after less than 10 months as several state groups and regulators cut ties over the contribution.
· People
- Kalshi Hires Former FBI Agent to Lead Anti-Money-Laundering Team
Sean Fern will build the prediction-market company’s first anti-money-laundering team as Kalshi faces scrutiny over alleged insider trading and market manipulation.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Investigates Trades Before White House Press Secretary Appointment
Katie Zacharia was priced at about 1% before President Donald Trump confirmed her appointment Oct. 9. Three bets could pay thousands of dollars if settled successfully.
· Regulation
- NEXTPredict Arranges $12,000 Hedge for Up to $3 Million in Flight Cancellations
The event contracts would return the summit’s cost if more than half of flights scheduled to arrive at JFK on Oct. 21 are canceled.
· Business
- Polymarket Market Did Not List 2026 Nobel Winner as Candidate
South African jurist Navanethem “Navi” Pillay won the prize after her outcome appeared only under an “other person or organization” contract.
· Investing
- NFL Backs State Oversight of Prediction-Market Sports Betting
The league urged the Supreme Court to reject exclusive federal authority for the CFTC over sports contracts offered by Kalshi, Polymarket and similar platforms.
· Regulation
- NFL Urges Supreme Court To Let States Regulate Kalshi Sports Bets
The league backed New Jersey’s petition in a case that could determine whether state gambling laws apply to prediction-market contracts.
· Regulation
- NFL Files Supreme Court Brief Opposing Federal Prediction-Market Oversight
The league joins opposition to federal regulation of markets including Kalshi and Polymarket as the case moves toward a possible final ruling.
· Regulation
- NFL Asks Supreme Court to Review Federal Sports Betting Oversight
The league backed New Jersey’s challenge to Kalshi’s prediction-market contracts, arguing sports event wagers belong under state gambling rules.
· Regulation
- NFL Tells Supreme Court Sports Prediction Contracts Are Gambling
The league urged justices to leave sports prediction market oversight to the states in a case involving New Jersey regulators and Kalshi.
· Regulation
- 39 States Ask Supreme Court to Review Kalshi Sports Contracts
The filing backs New Jersey’s petition over whether federal derivatives law overrides state gambling rules for sports-related prediction contracts.
· Regulation
- Four Native American Tribes Launch Kalshi-Powered Prediction Apps
The partnerships offer tribes a way to enter prediction markets without building gaming facilities, amid disagreement over the industry's effect on casino revenue.
· Business
- Kalshi Seeks CFTC Approval for WTI Crude Oil Perpetual Futures
The proposed contract would trade 24 hours a day, five days a week, and become the first regulated U.S. crude oil perpetual futures product if approved.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Launches Leveraged US 500 Perpetual Contract Without Expiration
The contract tracks 500 large U.S. companies and supports long or short positions with leverage, with maximum leverage currently listed at 13.7x.
· Investing
- Kalshi Gold Contract Count Exceeded Ethereum’s in September
The gold market recorded 542 million contracts and about $5 million in estimated fees, compared with 318 million contracts and $2.6 million for Ethereum.
· Investing
- Kalshi Adds Low-Volume Labels and Live Trade Feeds for Election Markets
Brier scores will compare market probabilities with actual outcomes. Markets below $10,000 will receive low-volume labels.
· Business
- Kalshi Combos Bundle Event Outcomes in a Single Position
Each combo uses a dedicated order book and can pay up to $1 per contract, depending on its component positions.
· Business
- Kalshi Withdraws Pepe Perpetual Futures Filing Before Launch
The proposed PEPE-linked contract was withdrawn Oct. 1, two days after certification. Pepe is absent from Kalshi’s current list of crypto perpetuals.
· Business
- Prediction Markets Log $188 Billion in Q3 Trading Volume
The total was nearly 70% higher than in Q2 and about 21 times the level a year earlier. Sports markets accounted for about 40% of Kalshi’s Q3 volume.
· Investing
- House Bill Would Bar Candidates From Trading on Their Own Elections
Rep. Don Davis introduced the measure Oct. 5 after his opponent Laurie Buckhout was penalized by Kalshi over trades tied to her candidacy.
· Regulation
- Kalshi’s 2027 Recession Market Shows 22% Odds for U.S. Downturn
Yes contracts were priced at 21 cents on Oct. 6. The market listed Jan. 31, 2028, as its maximum payout date.
· Investing
- CFTC Has Not Approved Kalshi’s Proposed S&P 500 Perpetual Futures
A Federal Register notice and the CFTC’s product listing show the relevant proposal is still pending.
· Regulation
- New Jersey Asks Supreme Court to Review Kalshi Sports Contract Ruling
The state argues that sports event contracts are not swaps under federal commodities law and that federal law does not preempt state gambling rules. The Supreme Court has not agreed to hear the case.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Prediction Markets Put 2026 Odds of Touching $100,000 at 39%
Polymarket’s Bitcoin threshold market shows $72.6 million in volume, while Kalshi’s year-end closing-price market has recorded about $39.5 million.
· Investing
- Kalshi Advances Trading Incentive Program End Date to Oct. 13, 2026
The company filed the date change with the CFTC on Sept. 28, moving the deadline up from Oct. 1, 2027.
· Regulation
- Kalshi, Polymarket Face Scrutiny Over Trading Volume Patterns
Kalshi attributes activity in Ether perpetuals to liquidity programs, while Polymarket says professional traders exploit pricing differences across international prediction markets.
· Investing
- CFTC Investigates Adam Kinzinger Over Kalshi Pardon Trades
A linked account made about 25 trades tied to Kinzinger’s potential pardon and Joe Biden’s preemptive pardons, reporting an $823 gain.
· Regulation
- Adam Kinzinger Says He Made Kalshi Bets on a Biden Pardon
He said the trades produced $823 across about 25 transactions and that he had no material nonpublic information.
· Regulation