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interest rates
185 TokenPost stories are tagged interest rates. The newest appear first.
Latest interest rates stories
- Bank of Japan Expected to Hold Policy Rate at 1.25% in October
More than half of the nine-member policy committee is expected to support a pause while policymakers gauge the effects of September’s increase.
· Regulation
- Low Bank Deposit Rates Could Make Stablecoins More Appealing
Bank deposits could pay interest during a 2022–2025 high-rate period when stablecoins generally did not. Earlier analysis linked deposit pricing to a 2.8-percentage-point decline in stablecoin growth over 10 weeks.
· Business
- Markets Price 83.9% Chance of an October Federal Reserve Hold
The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase through October was 16.1%. December pricing assigned a 76% chance to a cumulative 25-basis-point increase.
· Investing
- Markets Put October Fed Rate Hike Odds at 14.9% as Hold Odds Reach 85.1%
The Oct. 22 market-implied reading put the chance of unchanged rates at 85.1%, up from 84.5% on Oct. 18.
· Investing
- Bitcoin (BTC) Macro Backdrop Includes Unanimous December Fed Hike Forecast
The Fed has not decided on Oct. 27-28. September consumer prices rose 3.7% year over year, with gasoline prices up 34.2%.
· Investing
- Bank of Korea says data will guide further rate hikes as it assesses two earlier increases
The Bank of Korea held its benchmark rate at 3%, saying incoming data will guide further hikes as it assesses two earlier increases and rising growth and inflation risks.
· Investing
- Bank of Korea holds rate at 3.00%, weighs timing and pace of further increases
The Bank of Korea held its benchmark rate at 3.00% unanimously, citing heightened uncertainty while signaling that further increases would depend on inflation, growth and financial stability.
· Investing
- UK Inflation Reaches Nearly One-Year High as Rate Hike Bets Firm
Motor fuel prices rose 30% from a year earlier, and most economists expect the Bank of England’s main rate to reach 4% at its Nov. 5 meeting.
· Regulation
- Dudley Warns AI Spending Could Lift Rates Before Steeper Fed Cuts
He said markets may be underestimating near-term upward pressure and how forceful later cuts could be if investment peaks or financing weakens.
· Investing
- Claudia Sahm Urges October Fed Hike as Odds Fall to 17% From as High as 70%
Sahm says a quarter-point increase could reduce the risk of larger hikes if inflation remains elevated or rises further. August PCE inflation was 3.4%, above the Fed’s 2% target.
· Regulation
- Bank of Japan Expected to Assess 2% Inflation Goal Next Week
A finding that underlying inflation has reached the target would mark a milestone nearly 14 years after the bank adopted it.
· Regulation
- Bank of Korea Expected to Hold Rate at 3% After Two Increases
All 24 economists in a premeeting poll expect an October pause. Separate surveys show broad support for another increase in November.
· Regulation
- CBO Projects $6 Trillion in Added U.S. Deficits Under Higher Rates
In that scenario, higher interest on debt in CBO’s baseline adds $4.9 trillion. Interest on additional borrowing adds $1.1 trillion.
· Regulation
- Economists Expect Fed to Hold in October and Raise Rates in December
Ninety-four of 100 economists expected no October increase, while all 100 forecast a December hike.
· Investing
- All 100 Economists in Survey Expect Fed Rate Hike in December 2026
Ninety-four expect the federal funds rate to end 2026 at 4.00% to 4.25%, compared with 29 of 76 economists in a September survey.
· Regulation
- Bank of Japan May Raise Inflation Forecast While Holding Rates Steady
Higher oil prices could prolong pressure on consumer prices. Another sharp decline in the yen could complicate the expected rate pause.
· Regulation
- China Holds One-Year and Five-Year-and-Above Loan Prime Rates Steady
The one-year rate remained at 3%, while the five-year-and-above rate stayed at 3.5%. Both matched September’s levels.
· Regulation
- Wells Fargo Sees U.S. Small Caps Under Pressure After 5.5% Drop
The Russell 2000 fell for five straight weeks through Oct. 9, its longest weekly losing streak since May 2022.
· Investing
- Canadian Business Sentiment Weakens as Inflation Expectations Rise
The shift followed unsuccessful U.S.-Canada trade negotiations. The Bank of Canada’s next interest rate announcement is scheduled for Oct. 28.
· Investing
- Indicative French-German Yield Gap Reaches About 142 Basis Points
Rate contracts put the chance of an October Fed hold at 85% on Oct. 19, while France’s 10-year reference yield rose to 4.853%.
· Investing
- UK Gilts Rally as Investors Price In Healey’s Fiscal Discipline
Healey has pledged to keep fiscal rules with a buffer for uncertainty. Market pricing also points to a low likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut in November 2026.
· Investing
- Markets Put October Fed Rate-Hike Odds at 15.5%, Hold Odds at 84.5%
The figures are market-implied probabilities for the Fed’s October decision, not an announced policy move.
· Investing
- U.S. Inflation Data Raise Odds of Another Fed Rate Hike This Year
Markets put the chance of another increase this year at 70% to 80%, while futures showed about 27% odds of a move in October.
· Investing
- El-Erian Says Markets Price In Excessive Rate Hikes by September
The Allianz chief economic adviser considers expectations for three total rate increases excessive, despite recent dovish readings of Federal Reserve messaging.
· Investing
- BOJ Plans More Rate Hikes as Yen, AI and Middle East Shape Timing
The policy rate reached 1.25% in September. The BOJ's Oct. 29-30 meeting is scheduled to include updated growth and inflation forecasts.
· Regulation
- Japan’s 1.25% Policy Rate Sits Within IMF’s Neutral-Rate Range
The IMF’s 2026 outlook projects inflation to converge with the BOJ’s 2% target in 2027.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin and Ether Gained After Fed’s September 2026 Rate Hike
Bitcoin rose 11.58% and Ether 11.94% in the seven days after the 25-basis-point increase, the Fed’s first in more than three years.
· Investing
- High rates grip US housing as mortgage costs are seen rising next year
Ron Butler expects US mortgage rates to trend higher next year as global bond yields rise. Elevated borrowing costs are keeping buyers sidelined and adding pressure to housing prices.
· Insights & Views
- Kevin Warsh Declines to Signal Fed’s Next Rate Decision
Speaking in Bangkok, Warsh also pointed to the Fed’s September rate increase as a signal of its commitment to price stability.
· Regulation
- SMBC Economist Expects More Fed Rate Hikes After October Meeting
Joe Lavorgna sees a December increase as more likely than an October move after a hotter-than-expected September producer price index.
· Regulation
- UBS Forecasts Two More Fed Rate Hikes Through March 2027
The bank expects increases in December 2026 and March 2027, while market pricing reflected about 3.5 further hikes after September.
· Regulation
- U.S. Retail Sales Rise 0.8% in September, Beating Forecast
August's sales growth was revised down to 1.1% from 1.2%, tempering the comparison with September.
· Investing
- Warsh Considers Weakening or Ending the Fed’s Quarterly Dot Plot
Warsh wants fewer public signals on future rates and is weighing changes to the Fed’s quarterly dot plot. Policymakers warn that less guidance could unsettle markets; September CPI inflation was 3.7% year over year.
· Regulation
- Russell 2000 Falls More Than 10% Into Correction Territory
Inflation and rate concerns have pressured small-cap and cyclical shares as investors move capital toward dominant technology companies.
· Investing
- Market Bets on October Fed Rate Hike Double to 40% After CPI
The Fed’s Oct. 28 decision is six days before the Nov. 3 midterm elections; September consumer prices rose 3.7% from a year earlier.
· Regulation
- Sarah Breeden Says UK Economy Has Absorbed Recent Energy Shocks
The Bank of England deputy governor said a prolonged shock could revive inflation pressure and require higher rates.
· Regulation
- Schenker Sees Possible 50-Basis-Point Fed Hike in December
The Prestige Economics president expects the Fed could pause further increases early next year if it makes a larger move in December.
· Regulation
- Goolsbee Says September Inflation Disappoints, Urges More Data Before Hike
Services inflation remained above 5%, while core goods prices did not cool as expected. Goolsbee said it remains unclear whether existing interest rates are enough to return inflation to the Fed’s 2% target.
· Regulation
- Institutional buying and hash-rate recovery bolster case for a Bitcoin bottom
Institutional net buying near 130% of daily mined supply and a renewed rise in hash rate support the case for a Bitcoin bottom. Rates around 5.3% remain the main near-term risk.
· Investing
- Bitcoin jolted by inflation pressure, but monetary expansion supports long-term case
Hotter-than-expected US inflation revived rate-hike concerns and pressured Bitcoin. Scott Melker said eventual monetary expansion still supports the asset’s long-term investment case.
· Investing