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Polymarket
207 TokenPost stories are tagged Polymarket. The newest appear first.
Latest Polymarket stories
- Polymarket Fixes Supply-Chain Attack After $2.71 Million in Losses
GoPlus attributed the breach to a compromised DebugBear monitoring script. Polymarket pledged to reimburse affected traders in full.
· Technology
- Five Web3 Prediction-Market Projects Show Different Models in 2026
Coinbase’s prediction markets topped $200 million in annualized revenue in Q3, while the five projects range from exchanges to shared infrastructure.
· Technology
- One Polymarket Account Withdrew at Least $2.7 Million Across 710 Wallets
Polymarket restricted international trading during its investigation and said its U.S. platform was not compromised.
· Technology
- Polymarket Users Report Unauthorized Transfers and Withdrawal Requests
Trader Car claimed about $800,000 was taken from one account and about $600,000 from a friend’s account.
· Technology
- Polymarket Investigates Profitable Bets Before Israel's Polls Closed
Hundreds of newly created accounts backed Benjamin Netanyahu and Likud before polls closed Tuesday. Some accounts later cashed out more than $100,000 combined.
· Investing
- Kalshi Holds 76% of Tracked Volume as Polymarket US Grows 66%
The 30-day count reached $120.3 billion in face-value contracts, while traders paid $29 billion. A separate Q3 figure put Polymarket’s two venues at 27% of dollars paid.
· Investing
- Australia’s ASIC Has Received No Prediction Market Applications
Chair Sarah Court compared the platforms with banned binary options and said local users lack financial-regulation protections.
· Regulation
- CFTC Renews Probe Into Polymarket’s U.S. Access Controls
The review covers location checks, U.S. advertising and customer protections on Polymarket’s U.S. platform.
· Regulation
- NBA Names Kalshi and Polymarket Preferred Exchanges, Signs CFTC MOU
Both platforms will receive NBA data, U.S. marketing rights and promotional activations, while agreements bar league and team personnel from trading NBA event contracts.
· Business
- Polymarket Puts Ether's October $2,200 Touch Odds at 20%
The contract uses Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle lows and covers Oct. 1 through Oct. 31 in ET.
· Investing
- Polymarket’s Top Sports Account Earned $12.25 Million Since April 2026
The account, swisstony, opened about 184,000 positions across more than 113,000 markets and put roughly $657 million into trades.
· Investing
- Swisstony Led Polymarket's Earnings Tally With About $12.25 Million Since April
The account put about $657 million into roughly 184,000 positions across more than 113,000 markets.
· Investing
- CFTC Probes Whether Polymarket Breached 2022 U.S. User Ban
The review spans U.S. access controls, advertising, and customer admission and protections on the company’s U.S. platform.
· Regulation
- Millennium Develops Tool to Use Prediction Market Data in Trades
The hedge fund, with about $97 billion under management, is developing a tool for portfolio managers. It has not begun trading prediction market contracts directly.
· Business
- Polymarket Investigated Dozens of Midterm Trades; At Least Two Reach CFTC
A 16-person team led by Shana Bautista is using a new election-monitoring system that generates hundreds of alerts daily.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Says It Investigated Dozens of Midterm Election Bets
A 16-person investigations unit is using a new system that draws on public data, financial partners and statistical models to monitor election trading.
· Regulation
- Two Premier League Bets End at Zero With $2.6 Million in Displayed Losses
The positions backed Manchester City and Chelsea to win on Oct. 24. The displayed losses cover those bets, not the accounts’ overall trading results.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds of Bitcoin Hitting $82,500 in October Fall to 36%
The contract’s probability was down 20% over 24 hours and is based on Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle highs through Oct. 31.
· Investing
- Polymarket Contract Puts Strategy's STRC at 13% Odds of Touching $100 in October
The probability rose 9% over 24 hours as of 6:43 a.m. ET Tuesday, Oct. 27 (10:43 UTC).
· Investing
- Lula Wins Brazil Election After Polymarket Put His Odds Near 20%
The market gave Flávio Bolsonaro an 80% chance before the vote. TxODDS co-founder Einar Knobel said its volume was 4.5% of Polymarket’s 2024 U.S. presidential election market.
· Investing
- Polymarket U.S. Market Tops 74 Million October Trades for Monthly Record
The count was 15% higher than September’s total, with October still underway.
· Investing
- NBA Names Kalshi and Polymarket Preferred Prediction Market Partners
Kalshi’s agreement includes access to official NBA data and league branding. Polymarket also received preferred-partner status.
· Business
- X User SEVEN Shares Platform User Loss Ranking
The ranking names trading and prediction platforms, but its percentages do not establish customer outcomes.
· Investing
- IOSG Ventures Invests in Fun, Polymarket’s Deposit and Withdrawal Provider
Fun’s annualized processing volume is $100 billion. Its integration also connects platforms to Lighter and Aave.
· Business
- Lula’s Runoff Win Prompts Debate Over Prediction Market Odds
Kalshi odds swung during the vote count, while Polymarket settled its Brazil election contract in Lula’s favor.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds Put Predict.fun Token Launch Before Oct. 31 at 22%
The probability rose 10% in 24 hours, while a separate contract for a launch before Nov. 30 stood at 97%, up 14%.
· Investing
- Polymarket Puts WTI’s Odds of Topping $110 at 31% for Rest of October
The figure is a contract probability, not a quoted WTI price. Trump also said oil prices would fall soon.
· Investing
- Polymarket Fed Hold Position Shows $37,100 Gap in Listed Terms
The account held 377,658.3 shares at a reported average opening price of 85.5 cents. Those terms imply about $322,900 in contract value against a listed $360,000 purchase amount.
· Investing
- Polymarket Contract Shows $ANT Leading Anthropic Ticker Market
The contract showed $ANTH at 27% and listed $157,941 in total volume. Anthropic has not announced an IPO date or ticker.
· Investing
- Polymarket Wallet Opens $50,000 Position on AL to Beat TES
The contracts opened at an average price of 64 cents. AL and TES entered the second Swiss-stage round with 0-1 records.
· Investing
- Kalshi, Polymarket Set $2.7 Billion Weekly Crypto-Contract Volume Record
Short-cycle Bitcoin up-or-down markets were especially active. A single trade in Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin contracts can exceed $1 million.
· Investing
- Polymarket Fires CMO After Internal Review of Promotional Practices
The review began earlier this year after a series of events prompted investor concerns.
· Business
- Hegseth Bars Pentagon Staff From Trading on Nonpublic Intelligence
The memo covers classified and unclassified information and all financial transactions, including military-event wagers on Kalshi and Polymarket.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Puts Odds of WTI Crude Rising Above $110 by Month-End at 34%
The probability reading was recorded at 12:54 p.m. ET Friday, Oct. 23; it is not a quoted crude price.
· Investing
- Hegseth Bars Pentagon Personnel From Betting With Nonpublic Military Information
A Tuesday memo covers classified and unclassified information and includes platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Puts Bitcoin’s October $85,000 Touch Odds at 41%
The reading was down 10% over 24 hours as of 7:49 a.m. ET Friday. The contract tracks Binance’s BTC/USDT one-minute candle highs through Oct. 31.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds for Anthropic Fable Model by Month-End Fall to 38%
The implied probability fell 30% over 24 hours. The contract requires a model named Fable with version 5.2 or later.
· Investing
- Polymarket Puts 3% Odds on Bitcoin Reaching $130,000 in 2026
A separate Deribit options estimate put the chance of Bitcoin touching $100,000 by year-end at 20% to 25%; the markets track different thresholds.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds Put Predict.fun FDV One Day After Launch Above $800 Million
On Thursday, Oct. 22, the market showed a 74% probability at 1:19 a.m. ET (05:19 UTC), up 60% over 24 hours.
· Investing
- Polymarket Prices Defined AI Downturn Odds at 9.4% by Dec. 31, 2026
The contract resolves “Yes” only if at least three of six specified conditions occur within one 90-day window ending by the deadline.
· Investing