TokenPost topic
Polymarket
207 TokenPost stories are tagged Polymarket. The newest appear first.
Latest Polymarket stories
- Polymarket’s Solana $110 Odds Rise 16 Percentage Points to 70%
The market’s time frame is month-end. Separately, Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade targets transaction finality of about 150 milliseconds, down from roughly 12.8 seconds.
· Investing
- Polymarket Contract Put Tesla-SpaceX Merger or Acquisition Odds at 23%
The Oct. 21 snapshot covered announcements by Dec. 31, 2026. A qualifying deal does not need to close by that deadline.
· Investing
- Dragonfly Partner Disputes Private-Jet Claim About Polymarket CEO
Haseeb Qureshi says Shayne Coplan disclosed the expenses and reimbursed Polymarket in full before he began drawing a regular salary.
· People
- Dragonfly's Haseeb Qureshi Says Polymarket CEO Disclosed Expenses
Qureshi said Shayne Coplan was not drawing a salary when the expenses were incurred and that none of the flights were for personal use.
· Business
- Polymarket Investor Puts Coplan's Annualized Expenses Near Engineer's Salary
Haseeb Qureshi said Coplan initiated the repayment process, reimbursed Polymarket in full and later began receiving a regular salary.
· Business
- Polymarket CEO Repaid Company for Expenses in 2025 Investor Review
Founders Fund examined charges for apartment rent and private jet flights. An early investor disputes the suggestion that outside investors uncovered concealed spending.
· Business
- Crypto Contracts Accounted for $7.3B of July Prediction Market Volume
Sports contracts generated $42.01 billion, or 79.3% of the month’s $52.99 billion in combined volume.
· Investing
- Midterm Prediction Markets Reach $221 Million Ahead of Nov. 3 Vote
Contracts covering 460 of 470 seats drew trading by Aug. 10, but many congressional markets remain thin.
· Investing
- Sports Outpace Election Bets as Kalshi, Polymarket Hit $53 Billion
Political contracts averaged about $2 billion a month on Polymarket and less than $300 million on Kalshi this year.
· Investing
- Polymarket US Lists Sports and Crypto Event Contracts Alongside Kalshi
QCX LLC operates the exchange under a CFTC designation. A pending Supreme Court petition asks whether states can apply gambling rules to sports event contracts.
· Business
- Polymarket Prices Democratic House Win at 92%, Senate Win at 64%
A separate market priced a Democratic sweep at 64%, compared with 62% in an Oct. 10 snapshot.
· Investing
- Polymarket Shows July as First Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Deadline Above 50%
At 2:14 p.m. ET Oct. 19 (18:14 UTC), the July contract stood at 52%, while June was at 49%.
· Investing
- SpaceX Retakes Polymarket Lead in 2026 IPO Race as Anthropic Valuation Talk Cools
The contract uses first-day closing market capitalization, making SpaceX’s roughly $2.1 trillion debut-day value the benchmark.
· Investing
- Polymarket Election Markets Show $657.8 Million in Lifetime Volume
The combined total covers each contract’s full trading history and does not isolate trading after Ethiopia’s vote or Romania’s canceled 2024 election.
· Investing
- Polymarket Prices a 14% Chance of October Fed Hike as Bitcoin Closes at $81,524
The market showed 87% for no change and $44.7 million in volume. September producer prices rose 1.3% from August.
· Investing
- Polymarket Representatives Put Esports Creator Count Above 800
Participants receive crypto to promote game-focused accounts; program prompts stopped explicitly reminding them to use X’s paid-partnership label in late August.
· Business
- Polymarket Puts U.S. Invasion of Iran Odds at 16.5% Under Narrow Contract Rules
A “Yes” requires a U.S. offensive aimed at taking control of part of Iran by the end of 2026; a ceasefire breakdown alone does not qualify.
· Investing
- Prediction Markets Price October Fed Hike Odds Near One in Four
Early Oct. 15 contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US favored a hold at the Oct. 27–28 meeting. The September consumer price index (CPI) report, released Oct. 14, showed inflation rising 0.6% from August.
· Investing
- Polymarket CEO Criticizes Crypto’s 100-Fold Token Bets
Coplan said event contracts have no exponential upside. Winning Polymarket shares pay $1 at resolution.
· Investing
- OffMarket Offers Private Trading on Polymarket’s International Markets
Users can sign in with Google or a wallet and deposit USDC. Trading through OffMarket is currently unavailable from the United States.
· Investing
- Polymarket CEO Discusses Possible Asset With No Airdrop Announced
Shayne Coplan discussed an on-chain asset tied to Polymarket’s economy at TOKEN2049 in Singapore, but gave no launch date or distribution details.
· Business
- Polymarket Prices Nvidia’s October Stock Thresholds From $208 to $272
The contracts track whether Nvidia shares reach specified price levels by Oct. 31, 2026. Displayed odds are a snapshot and may change.
· Investing
- Polymarket Puts Fable 5.2 or Later Release Odds at 70% by Oct. 17
The market’s probability rose 36% in 24 hours. A public beta or a waitlist open to the public meets its release criteria.
· Investing
- Polymarket Lists Market on Predict.fun Token’s Post-Launch Valuation
The contract asks whether the token’s fully diluted valuation will exceed $300 million one day after launch.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Prediction Markets Put October Odds of Touching $80,000 Above $92,500
Polymarket prices a 54% chance of Bitcoin touching $80,000 during October, while Kalshi shows 55% odds of trading below that level.
· Investing
- Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 Records $317 Million in Five-Month Volume
The outcome-market platform generated $51 million in September, while soccer World Cup contracts represented 28% of cumulative volume.
· Investing
- Polymarket Gives Kimberly Guilfoyle 70% Chance of Leaving U.S. Ambassador Post by Oct. 31
The market measures whether Guilfoyle leaves through resignation or removal, while allegations involving her remain unproven.
· Investing
- CBS News Plans to Show Kalshi Odds in 2026 Midterm Coverage
The network will place market-implied probabilities alongside polls, results and race analysis as prediction markets gain visibility despite limited participation across many congressional contracts.
· Business
- Mojo Launches Official AI Trading Platform After Closed Test
The platform connects Binance, Hyperliquid and Polymarket with six blockchain networks through a natural-language interface for managing trading strategies.
· Technology
- CFTC Proposes Federal Swap Rules for Prediction-Market Contracts
The proposals would classify event contracts as swaps while excluding sports betting and casino-style products from the definition.
· Regulation
- Kalshi and Polymarket Set $8.56 Billion Two-Day Volume Record
NFL and NCAA events drove consecutive daily records, while combined weekly volume reached $22.2 billion.
· Investing
- Polymarket Prices Bitcoin’s Fall to $80,000 at 63% for October
The probability rose 13% over the past week for a contract covering Bitcoin’s potential decline to $80,000 during the rest of October.
· Investing
- CFTC Proposes Separating Prediction Markets From Casino Gambling
The measures would classify event contracts as swaps while excluding sportsbook wagers and casino games from the definition.
· Regulation
- Prediction Markets Gain Ground as Finance Firms Build Around Event Contracts
Kalshi’s federal designation, Polymarket’s $1.4 million penalty and ICE’s planned investment highlight a market expanding beyond betting, while its infrastructure potential remains unproven.
· Business
- Trader Holds October Fed Hike Bet Alongside $4.45 Million in Shorts
The tetrose account holds nearly 298,000 Polymarket contracts on a 25-basis-point October rate increase while shorting Bitcoin and the S&P 500 on Hyperliquid.
· Investing
- Bitcoin’s 2026 $200,000 Odds Stand at 1% on Polymarket
The contract showed $2.09 million in volume, while lower price targets carried higher implied probabilities.
· Investing
- Polymarket-Linked Wallet Moves $13.18 Million in UNI to Binance
The wallet transferred 1.793 million UNI after withdrawing the tokens from Venus, with a potential $3.17 million loss if sold at the reported value.
· Investing
- Polymarket Market Did Not List 2026 Nobel Winner as Candidate
South African jurist Navanethem “Navi” Pillay won the prize after her outcome appeared only under an “other person or organization” contract.
· Investing
- Asset Tokenization, Bitcoin Access Lead Oct. 8 Crypto Roundup
The roundup also covered South Korean tax policy, Polymarket fees, Catalyst’s $30 million funding round and rising Bitcoin short-term holder losses.
· Investing
- NFL Backs State Oversight of Prediction-Market Sports Betting
The league urged the Supreme Court to reject exclusive federal authority for the CFTC over sports contracts offered by Kalshi, Polymarket and similar platforms.
· Regulation