TokenPost topic
Polymarket
207 TokenPost stories are tagged Polymarket. The newest appear first.
Latest Polymarket stories
- NFL Files Supreme Court Brief Opposing Federal Prediction-Market Oversight
The league joins opposition to federal regulation of markets including Kalshi and Polymarket as the case moves toward a possible final ruling.
· Regulation
- Polymarket’s 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Market Reaches $27.36 Million
Trading volume has surpassed last year’s total ahead of the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s announcement at 5 a.m. ET (09:00 UTC) on Oct. 9.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds of Anthropic Fable 5.2 Release by Oct. 12 Fall to 17%
The contract’s implied probability fell 31% over 24 hours to 17% at 2:28 a.m. ET Thursday.
· Investing
- Edward Lee Joins Polymarket as Head of Product for Exchange Business
The former Coinbase and Circle employee will lead product development for Polymarket US and its international on-chain exchange.
· People
- Polymarket Tests Protocol V2 With pUSD Collateral and Unified Positions
The rebuilt system uses ERC-1155 positions and native USDC for settlement, with canary testing tentatively scheduled through Oct. 30 before a Nov. 2 transition for new markets.
· Technology
- Polymarket Explores On-Chain Asset Tied to Platform Economics
CEO Shayne Coplan said the concept would have programmable utility. Polymarket US is a CFTC-designated contract market, while Polymarket International is not regulated by the CFTC.
· Business
- Bitcoin Traded Above $80,000 as $387 Million Bitget Exploit Emerged
Ether posted its strongest quarter since the third quarter of 2024 as ETF inflows, rising onchain DEX volumes and tokenized-equity announcements supported market resilience.
· Technology
- TOKEN2049 Singapore Runs Oct. 7–8 With 25,000 Attendees
The conference has six stages and attendees from 160 countries. Its speaker lineup includes leaders from crypto, finance and technology.
· Business
- Prediction Markets Log $188 Billion in Q3 Trading Volume
The total was nearly 70% higher than in Q2 and about 21 times the level a year earlier. Sports markets accounted for about 40% of Kalshi’s Q3 volume.
· Investing
- Polymarket Starts Protocol V2 Canary Testing for New Markets
The trial is scheduled to run through Oct. 30, with a tentative Nov. 2 switchover for new markets.
· Technology
- Polymarket Trader Earns $1.16 Million on Sweden Bet
The account was created one day earlier and showed an 84% return on the wager, with a 100% win rate across one trade.
· Investing
- Polymarket Challenges Dutch Ban as Derivatives Classification Dispute Continues
The Dutch Gambling Authority set a €420,000 weekly penalty, capped at €840,000, for failing to stop the service in the Netherlands.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Puts Bitcoin’s October Odds at 56% for a $90,000 Touch
The probability fell 10% in 24 hours. A separate contract put the chance of Bitcoin reaching $87,500 at 77%.
· Investing
- Polymarket Alpha Group Estimated to Earn About $40 Million Since 2024
The invite-only group has about 30 members. Separately, 69.2% of manually operated accounts on Polymarket’s international platform finished below break-even.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Prediction Markets Put 2026 Odds of Touching $100,000 at 39%
Polymarket’s Bitcoin threshold market shows $72.6 million in volume, while Kalshi’s year-end closing-price market has recorded about $39.5 million.
· Investing
- Bitcoin’s October Market Prices a 64% Chance of Touching $90,000
Separate contracts put the odds of reaching $87,500 at 84% and falling to the $80,000 threshold at 45%.
· Investing
- Polymarket Study Finds 69.2% of Retail-Labelled Accounts Lost Money
The analysis covered about 2.9 million accounts on Polymarket’s international platform and tallied $338.9 million in combined losses.
· Investing
- Polymarket Adds Self-Exclusion and Deposit Limits for U.S. Users
Users can pause access for 30 days, one year or indefinitely. The platform introduced mental health support and launched a Trust & Safety Center.
· Business
- Crypto VC Funding Rose 71.1% in September to $1.269 Billion
The total remained 79.2% below September 2025. Polymarket reached a $21 billion valuation after a $300 million investment from 1789 Capital.
· Business
- Kalshi, Polymarket Face Scrutiny Over Trading Volume Patterns
Kalshi attributes activity in Ether perpetuals to liquidity programs, while Polymarket says professional traders exploit pricing differences across international prediction markets.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds Put October Fed Rate Hold at 59% Ahead of Key Data
The hold probability rose 28% in 24 hours, while the odds of a 25-basis-point hike fell to 42%.
· Investing
- September Payroll Forecasts Diverge as Markets Split on 100,000 Jobs
Forecasts for September U.S. job growth range from 35,000 to 180,000, while Kalshi and Polymarket put roughly even odds on more than 100,000 jobs.
· Investing
- Prediction-Market Traders Bet September Jobs Growth Will Beat 84,000 Estimate
Kalshi contracts show nearly 60% odds of more than 90,000 new jobs, while Polymarket traders see roughly even odds of growth above 100,000.
· Investing
- Kalshi in Talks for $1 Billion Financing at $40 Billion Valuation
The prediction-market platform is discussing the financing with new and existing investors, with completion expected in the coming weeks.
· Business
- Polymarket Hires Goldman Sachs Veteran to Lead Institutional Growth
Lisa Mantil will help attract Wall Street liquidity as prediction markets expand beyond retail trading and sports-related contracts.
· People
- Polymarket Odds of Ether Reaching $2,800 Rise to 32% in September
The probability of Ether reaching $2,600 fell to 15%, down 34% over 24 hours, as of Sept. 29.
· Investing
- Prediction Markets Put Bitcoin’s 2026 $100,000 Odds Near One-Third
Kalshi pricing ranged from 38% to 40%, while Polymarket showed 31% for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026.
· Investing
- Polymarket U.S. App Offers 15-Minute Bitcoin Up-or-Down Market
The market lets millions of users trade on whether Bitcoin will rise or fall during each 15-minute period.
· Investing
- Polymarket Gives 66% Odds Trump Will Adopt New AI Name or Direct Federal Use by Dec. 31
The probability rose 17% in a week after Trump proposed “Super Intelligence” as an alternative term for artificial intelligence.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Bank-Failure Contracts Draw FDIC Officials’ Concern
Contracts involving JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo recorded about $76,000 in year-end trading volume on Polymarket’s overseas platform.
· Regulation
- CFTC Advances Crypto Rules as SoFi and Mastercard Launch Settlement
The developments point to deeper connections between digital assets, traditional finance and payment networks.
· Regulation
- New York Sues Polymarket as Platform Challenges State Gambling Authority
The state seeks forfeiture of Polymarket’s proceeds, restitution and penalties, while the platform argues federal law bars state oversight of event contracts.
· Regulation
- New York Sues Polymarket Over Alleged Illegal Gambling Business
The state alleges the prediction-market platform operated an illegal gambling business, but has not disclosed detailed claims or requested remedies.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Odds Drop Before Senate Blocks Clarity Act Advance
The Senate vote failed 49-50 on Sept. 15, leaving the market-structure bill short of the three-fifths threshold needed to proceed.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Market Shows 65% Odds of 25-Basis-Point Fed Hike
The market showed a 35% probability that the Federal Reserve would leave interest rates unchanged in October.
· Investing
- Polymarket Puts OpenAI at 63% Odds of Reaching $975 Billion by Sept. 30
The contract’s probability rose 30% over 24 hours. It settles based on OpenAI’s valuation on Nasdaq Private Market or, if applicable, its IPO pricing and public-market capitalization.
· Investing
- Bitget Lists Polymarket IPO Pre-Market Perpetual Contract
The USDT-settled contract supports leverage of up to 20x and trades 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
· Business
- 1789 Capital Seeks $3 Billion for Its Second Growth Fund
The investment firm tied to Donald Trump Jr. has raised about $2 billion from existing investors and manages more than $4 billion in assets.
· Business
- Senate Banking Democrats Seek Public Hearing on Prediction Markets
All 11 Democratic committee members asked Chairman Tim Scott to examine consumer and financial-system risks as prediction-market trading expands.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Puts Ether’s Chance of Reaching $2,600 at 92%
Ether gained 7% over 24 hours as the market priced in a high probability of touching the target before September ends.
· Investing